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Bollinger Bands
by Stuart P. Evens
This indicator combines popular technical methods — moving
averages, support/resistance, and envelopes — with
statistical analysis to create a powerful technical analysis
tool. Bollinger Bands, used in combination with the relative
strength index (RSI) to analyze a market, enables us to
develop a method to enter and exit trades and review the
historical results.
On a day-to-day basis, markets
trade in a volatile fashion
around the trend. To better see
the trend, traders use moving
averages to filter the price action.
This way, traders can
gather important information
regarding how the market is
trading. For example, after a
sharp rise or fall in the trend,
the market may consolidate,
trading in a narrow fashion and crisscrossing above and
below the moving average. To better monitor this behavior,
traders use price channels, which are designed to encompass
the trading activity around the trend.
Bollinger Bands are one such technical tool. Before we
discuss Bollinger Bands, however, let’s have a quick look at
some other methods that traders have used.
Some technicians use moving averages with support and
resistance lines to anticipate the price action of a stock. Upper
resistance and lower support lines are first drawn and then
extrapolated to form channels within which the trader expects
prices to be contained. Some traders draw straight lines
connecting either tops or bottoms of prices to identify the
upper or lower price extremes, respectively, and then add
parallel lines to define the channel within which the prices
should move. As long as prices do not move out of this
channel, the trader can be reasonably confident that prices are
moving as expected.
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