Macro*World Investor by John Sweeney
Black River Software
4680 Brownsboro Road, Building C
Winston-Salem, NC, 27106
Product: Integrated business forecasting and investing package
Price: $899.95 for program, database and 3 months update service, plus $50 per month for program
and database maintenance service. Can combine program, database and first 15 months service for
Equipment: IBM XT or AT with 512K, DOS 2.0 or higher, one floppy and one hard disk, color
monitor with CGA or EGA, dot matrix or laser printer.
Ease of Use: A
Error Handling: A
Trading Track Record: None. However, users can run a simulation of forecasting and transaction
Econometrics—i.e., the thrill of regression analysis—has generally been beyond the reach of individual
investors, or even small institutions. No more. Macro*World Investor brings these techniques to bear in
a simple, but robust, analytical model at a very low price.
This package analyzes about 200 time series of economic data and security prices for interrelationships
before forecasting what each will do during the next year. After that, it will take the portfolio you have
specified and calculate the expected rates of return for the portfolio's securities. To each return is assigned a probability that the return will exceed the risk-free (or T-Bill) rate. If this probability exceeds
your hurdle, the security is accepted for your portfolio. That done, historical betas (vs. the S&P 500) for
accepted securities are computed and an optimal portfolio with the highest return for your target beta is
assembled for your use.