V. 22:8 (86-89): Enhanced Returns With Mutual Funds by Norman J. Brown
Product Description
Enhanced Returns With Mutual Funds by Norman J. Brown
Is buy and hold the best strategy when
it comes to mutual funds? Here’s a
mutual fund switching technique that
uses multiple-fund ranking to improve
returns.
In my earlier articles, I
showed it was possible
to switch a persistent
fund using a
technique I called
one rank, or OR. The technique resulted in a significant
improvement in annual return (Ann)
and a reduction in maximum drawdown
(Mdd). The term one rank
implies ranking a single mutual fund
daily, buying on an up day (return
of fund positive), and selling any
day the fund is down (return negative).
Further enhancement of Ann is made possible by
adding a second fund, a beta = -1.0 version of the basic
fund. This approach is equivalent to selling short during
the OR “out of market period” (when normally invested in
a money market). A simple equation closely approximated
the resulting ORLS (OR using both a long and short fund
switching approach). The formula for the net up days per
year for ORLS is:
ORLS (net days up) = N – 4S
(Equation 1)
where N is 252 market days per year and S is the number of
buys and sells per year. This number of net days then leads to
the ORLS Ann, given by:
GORLS = [1 + (%Avg Pos Rtn) / 100 ][N-4S]
(2)
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