V.18:3 (56-61):The Highs And Lows Of Trading by Edward Robert Florez
Product Description
The Highs
And Lows
Of Trading by Edward Robert Florez
Here’s a war story that illustrates some mistakes
that all traders have made at one time or another
— and should keep in mind..
The best-laid plans and
analysis can become catastrophically skewed when
conditions change and you do not
lessen your risk. Back in 1980,
during President Jimmy Carter’s last
year in office, speculation was
rampant that interest rates would
have to go down in order to benefit
the President’s reelection campaign. By then, interest rates had already had a dramatic and
unprecedented rise.
A year or so before the November 1980 election,in an
event referred to as "the Saturday night massacre," Federal
Reserve chairman Paul Volcker raised the discount rate by
two percent points over a weekend. He also ordered massive
intervention in the foreign exchange market in support of the
dollar, and effectively adopted monetarism as policy by
which the Fed would manage the money supply and hence the
economy. This sent shock waves through the international
monetary system and ushered in a new era of trading. It is the
foundation upon which a great deal of today’s speculative
trading is still focused.
As it turned out, interest rates didn’t top out for another
year and a half. But by January 1980, interest rates were high
enough to convince a number of traders that they were bound
to change direction.
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