V.18:8 (42-46):Catching DJIA Breakouts by Mark Vakkur, M.D.
Product Description
Catching DJIA Breakouts
by Mark Vakkur, M.D.
Buying breakouts in the Dow Jones Industrial Average works well - but there are caveats.
If the trend is your friend, the simplest way to use
that idea is to buy only those markets that are
breaking out to new highs. But is this really a good
strategy? As it turns out, at least for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), breakouts are very useful in identifying periods of increased profitability. I
studied breakouts on the DJIA from February 1988 to November 1998. If breakouts truly are useful, buying a
breakout over this 11-year span should have led to a greater than average
subsequent four-week and eight-week
profitability.
Obviously, the DJIA has been in an
extraordinary secular bull market since
1982; it may behave differently in a
downtrend or a trading range. Many
market players are now used to buying
high and selling higher. I leave it to
you to apply the concepts presented
here to your tradable of choice. That
said, here's how the DJIA performed
following breakouts.
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