Stocks & Commodities V. 31:4 (8-9): Letters To S&C by Technical Analysis, Inc.

Stocks & Commodities V. 31:4 (8-9): Letters To S&C by Technical Analysis, Inc.
Item# V31C04_521LETT
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Letters To S&C by Technical Analysis, Inc.



Since Koos Van der Merwe’s last assessment of the S&P and Dow Jones Industrial Average was correct (“The Kondratieff Wave And The Presidential Cycle,” July 2012 S&C), we are wondering what his view is on where we are now in the K-wave. Was the 2009 low just early for the 2012 wave? Are the 2016 and 2019 highs our next targets, or has something changed in the wave count? Can we expect something different? We haven’t changed any of our stock positions and are profitable in all.

Can Merwe tell us his ideas on the US economy, the stock market, and his overall picture for 2014?


Author Koos van der Merwe replies: See my article in this issue (“Reelections And The Presidential Cycle” beginning on page 14), in which I revisit the Kondratieff wave and review the Presidential election cycle and update my market outlook.

I would say that this year will be a slow rise, as Congress keeps fighting President Obama. Things will improve going into 2014, and the market will be higher, but it won’t be an easy ride. I still see banks as being the best performer. However, by 2016, the market will be much higher, so have patience, and look carefully at what you invest in.

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