Stocks & Commodities V. 31:11 (53): Explore Your Options by Tom Gentile
Product Description
Explore Your Options by Tom Gentile
“Last In, First Out”
Want to trade options just one day a month?
One of my students wanted to and was
asking me about it at a recent West Coast
seminar. It seems this option trader wants
to trade options short-term, based on a well
known — and pretty good — system that
signals a bullish day in the stock market
each month. That’s right, he wants to enter
the market at the close of business on one
day and exit the position the following
trading day at the open, and wanted to
know which option strategy would best
fit his bullish prognosis. Now that I have
piqued your interest, let me first explain
the seasonal (or psychological) tendency
before discussing using options as a surrogate
for the asset.
First trading day of the month
I first learned of this pattern from
Jeffrey Hirsch, cofounder of the Stock
Trader’s Almanac. It seems there is
a tendency for the stock market to
move higher over the first trading
day of each month. Why does this
tendency happen? It has long been
thought that hedge fund, mutual
fund, and retirement fund managers
are putting money to work at the end
of each month and the beginning of
the following month, adding to their
positions. Even if this is just hearsay,
the idea alone is enough for the crowd
to push money to the buy side. A
push on various large-cap stocks is
enough to move the index markets
for that day. When does this move actually
occur, how much of a move happens,
and most important, how can a trader take
advantage of this?
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