Stocks & Commodities V. 31:3 (34-36): The Chartmill Value Indicator (Part 3) by Dirk Vandycke
Product Description
The Chartmill Value Indicator (Part 3) by Dirk Vandycke
Enhancing And Nonenhancing
In the final article of this series, you’ll find more ways to apply the Chartmill value indicator
and determine if it enhances the indicators you already use.
The Chartmill value indicator (CVI) is a short-term oscillator which, like dozens of other
oscillators, tries to capture overbought and oversold situations. Because it is created using
a statistical normalization procedure, it is unlike most other well-known oscillators. For
one, it doesn’t suffer from the stickiness that keeps other range-bound oscillators in overbought
and oversold zones while a strong trend is developing. Second, the CVI copes nicely with the lag
that moving average–based oscillators have. Finally, because it doesn’t use any parameters, it is objective in its definition
and hence is ideal for algorithmic
implementation in
software.
Hence, it becomes necessary
to have an objective
interpretation of the
CVI. In this article, you
will find out if the CVI has
any real and statistically
significant usefulness.
Recap
The CVI going below ‑8
(two standard deviations)
is considered oversold or
short-term undervalued,
while having it above +8
would be overbought and
short-term overvalued. If
necessary, you can consider
smaller intervals to
increase the number of
samples like [‑7, +7], as
[‑8, +8] might give too few
signals while backtesting.
In addition, the interval
used doesn’t have to be
symmetrical. In a bull market,
you could consider
anything below ‑6 already
oversold. But the indicator
seems to perform well using
[‑8, +8]. The changes
in the interval are merely
to drive up sample size
in backtests and generate
more signals.
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