Stocks & Commodities V. 29:6 (28-35): Entering The Prize Zone by Walid Khalil and David Steckler

Entering The Prize Zone by Walid Khalil and David Steckler

In this second part of the series, we introduce the price zone oscillator (Pzo), a complementary indicator to the volume zone oscillator (Vzo).

IN our last article, we introduced a new oscillator that provides better guidance to buying and selling levels for securities: the volume zone oscillator (Vzo). This time, we introduce a similar, complementary indicator: the price zone oscillator (Pzo). See sidebar, “Price Zone Oscillator,” on page 29.

The formula for Pzo depends on only one condition: If today’s closing price is higher than yesterday’s closing price, then the closing price will have a positive value (bullish); otherwise it will have a negative value (bearish). Price zone oscillator = 100 x (CP/TC)

where: CP (Closing position) = X-days Ema (± close)

and TC (Total close) = X-days Ema (close)

The price zone oscillator Like Vzo, Pzo has overbought and oversold levels. It is useful for identifying at which zone (bullish or bearish) price is positioned. Pzo is useful in uptrends, downtrends, or sideways market conditions. Please review the daily chart in Figure 1 of Dia, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Spdr, with Pzo. Just like with Vzo, the price crossing the 60-day exponential moving average (Ema) is the determinant between bullish (above the Ema) and bearish (below the Ema) conditions. When the 14-day average directional movement index (Adx) is below 18, the action is considered to be sideways regardless of whether price is above or below the Ema. Also like Vzo, the components of Pzo are a 60-period Ema; a 14-period Adx; and seven oscillator zones, at +60 (extremely overbought), +40 (overbought), +15, zero, ‑5, ‑40 (oversold), and ‑60 (extremely oversold).