Straightening The Curves by Austin Passamonte
Consistently making a small profit on one contract is the first step to becoming a successful trader. Here’s a strategy that shows you how to do that using crude oil contracts as an example.
Axioms and clichés have made their way around the trading world for eons. They are now commonly accepted as gospel, and a lot of them are true. But others such as “Trade every signal, take every trade without exception, trade well and profits will follow” are common beliefs that are only partially true at best. The world of swing or trend trading, where entry signals and actual price movements are scattered or limited, is an entirely different world from short-term or intraday trading. Working between the bells of the pit or the Globex sessions of the electronic markets offers numerous potential price swings inside each period of operation.
That said, it is not like anyone can expect to trade every minute of every day with real opportunity all the way. Financial markets only offer limited profit potential inside any given period of operation.
Long-term cumulative results can be broken down into bell-curve distributions of data. One end of the curve represents low-volatility, limited-range sessions, while the opposite end represents high-volatility, wide-range sessions. That leaves the fat part in the middle, which represents a majority of sessions where price ranges, volume, and volatility levels fall inside some degree of assigned historical norm.