Stocks & Commodities V. 27:3 (43): Q&A by Don Bright
Product Description
Q&A by Don Bright
BEFORE THE OPEN
Don, I was wondering if you could answer
this. I have heard that there is a data
source that tells you the estimated opening
of NYSE stocks before the open. Have
you heard this? Thanks. — Sky123987
I’ve not heard of any particular site, but
I can tell you what we use. We see
premarket imbalances (excess shares) of
opening-only orders, and NYSE specialists
sometimes publish an estimated opening
price range as well. We also look at the
electronic communications network’s
(ECN) trading levels, premarket. This helps
considerably with our opening-only order
strategy by allowing us to adjust bid and
offer prices. We also calculate estimated
opening stock prices based on fair value–
adjusted futures trading ranges as well.
We take the closing price of the Standard
& Poor’s 500 spot price (SPX), add or
subtract the fair value number (basically
the cost of carry to expiration date, minus
dividends), and then compare where this
number related to the emini futures (CME/
Globex) premarket. Hope this helps!
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