V.12:11 (469-473): The Eight-Year Presidential Election Pattern by Adam White

V.12:11 (469-473): The Eight-Year Presidential Election Pattern by Adam White
Item# \V12\C11\EIGHT.PDF
Availability: In Stock

Product Description

The Eight-Year Presidential Election Pattern by Adam White

That seasonal patterns exist cannot be denied. But there may be patterns within those patterns, depending on how you look at them. The four-year Presidential cycle is a prime example or are we only looking at half the pattern there? Here's a new look at the Presidential cycle.

People plan, project and predict the future using past trends in most everything they do, from whether to grab an umbrella in the morning all the way to timing a turn through oncoming traffic. But how far can the practice of relying on past trends be taken when sizing up the future of the stock market? Many interesting historical patterns seem to abound: the Presidential election cycle, the decennial pattern, the Monday effect and so on. The key for the investor, however, is to determine which of these patterns are valid enough to base at least part of one's investing decisions on. Let us look at two variations of the Presidential election pattern, the traditional four-year pattern and an eight-year pattern. Let's look at two subjects: Introducing the eight-year pattern and offering a simple means by which to measure the validity of any historical pattern.

Most stock market investors are familiar with the four-year Presidential election cycle. This pattern suggests that the two years leading up to a Presidential election are generally better years for investing than the two years that follow. The underlying rationale is that the political party in power wants the economy and market to do well before the next election and is willing to apply restrictive economic policies only after the election. This four-year pattern has earned credence over the years partly because of this compelling logic and partly because of its statistical robustness.

*Note: $2.95-$5.95 Articles are in PDF format only. No hard copy of the article(s) will be delivered. During checkout, click the "Download Now" button to immediately receive your article(s) purchase. STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine is delivered via mail. After paying for your subscription at store.traders.com users can view the S&C Digital Edition in the subscriber's section on Traders.com.

Take Control of Your Trading.
Professional Traders' Starter Kit
All these items shown below only $299.99!
  • 5-year subscription to Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES, The Traders' magazine. (Shipping outside the US is extra. Washington state addresses require sales tax based on your locale.)
  • 5 year access to S&C Archive
  • 5 year access to S&C Digital Edition
  • 5-year subscription to Traders.com Advantage.
  • 5-year subscription to Working Money.
  • Free book selection.
  • Click Here to Order