V.10:3 (115-118): SIDEBAR: MATH MODEL FORMULAS
Product Description
MATH MODEL FORMULAS
My mathematical model of the stock market is based on fundamental economic parameters and has been
modified slightly from the model described in the article "Determining stock value from price and
earnings." The Standard & Poor's 500 is used to represent the market as a whole. The premise is that
stock index prices are proportional to earnings divided by interest rate:
...
The earnings in the model are the average earnings one year, or four quarters, ahead of the price of the
S&P 500 and is expressed using the least-squares method by the following equation:
...
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