V. 20:12 (20-33): Developing Hot Zones by Massimiliano Scorpio

V. 20:12 (20-33): Developing Hot Zones by Massimiliano Scorpio
Item# \V20\C12\157ZONE.PDF
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Developing Hot Zones by Massimiliano Scorpio

Can you forecast a barís close from its open? This technique is helpful in trading recently introduced tradables that donít have historical charts yet, such as single-stock futures.

In the December 2001 STOCKS & COMMODITIES, I demonstrated a simple method that uses a statistical indicator to help identify profitable patterns. Here, I have taken the method one step further: Iíve analyzed the behavior of each bar and the relationship between the open and close. If the market is showing a specific pattern, is there any way to forecast the close from the openís position in the bar? I used the key reversal up day (see Figure 1) for the pattern to see whether such a forecast was possible.




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