Stocks & Commodities V. 26:12 (49): Q&A by Don Bright

Stocks & Commodities V. 26:12 (49): Q&A by Don Bright
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Q&A by Don Bright


If you believe stocks return 10% a year, is it better to go long: 1) ES future contracts? 2) SPY options? —Sky123987

One of the biggest deceptions pulled on the investing public, historically, is the ROI of “the market.” Well, “the market” consisted of stocks only, not indexes, for most of its life. The Dow Jones 30 has had the individual stocks replaced over and over during the past 80 years or so. In fact, the only original stock is GE. So, since you could not invest in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), only individual stocks, there was nowhere near a 10% return as advertised.

Nowadays, you can invest in indexes, replacement stocks and all — but then, you need to think about that timing aspect to it. So yes, you can get 10% and more if your timing is good — otherwise, it’s very doubtful.

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