The Market Direction Indicator Anticipating
Moving Average Crossovers
by DONALD R. LAMBERT
Over the years, trading methods have evolved from the very simple (such as the CHANGCHENG
BANFA or "Great Wall Method," which dates back to the Orient of the 1700's), to Point and Figure, to
numerous modern complex calculation methods.
Despite all the modern techniques available, many traders still cling to their moving averages (and
sometimes crossover) systems, and make money doing so, but unfortunately not as much money as they
should. Since moving averages always lag behind actual price movements, devotees of the moving
average always get their signals a little late, often too late to take effective action.
Sometimes though if the trader is willing to venture a little beyond his customary technique, performance
can be improved through "anticipation calculations;" that is, computing in advance of market activity the
price that would be necessary to cause a moving average to cross the price line. The calculation for this
method is as follows:
Crossover Price =